Kirk Mellish's Weather Commentary 

Ice? Not so fast

  • 5:00 am Friday, December 16th, 2016 by Kirk Mellish

MAPS UPDATED 5am Friday 12/16…

I continue to be unconcerned about this weak mini threat.

One of the typical ways Georgia gets snow OR ice, is with “the wedge” pattern. That’s a layman’s term for what in meteorology is known as a “CAD event” or cold-air damning.

We get these wedge patterns many times in the fall and winter and to a lesser extent in spring.

You can look up the science details. Its a notoriously tricky to forecast weather pattern, and only occurs in areas of the world near mountains. Our proximity to the Atlantic helps add to the complexity.

In short, shallow cold [More]

Update on Georgia drought

  • 12:40 pm Thursday, December 8th, 2016 by Kirk Mellish

In general, a one-category improvement was made to the drought depiction in areas which received 3 inches of rain or more during the past 1-2 weeks. This included eastern Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and significant portions of Alabama, Georgia, the Florida Panhandle, and the higher terrain of the Carolinas.

There was a 6% improvement or lessening of the portion of Georgia in the worst drought category and a 12% improvement in the next worse drought category. About 9 million Georgia residents remain under a drought classification.



Lake Lanier is still down 10 feet and Allatoona [More]

Progress on the drought

  • 6:25 am Tuesday, December 6th, 2016 by Kirk Mellish

The change in the weather pattern to a more active southern jet stream storm track has brought welcome rain to Georgia and much of the Southeast.

Across the entire state of Georgia over the past 21 days 2.18 TRILLION gallons of water has fallen from the sky through Monday the 5th.


Look at the RAIN AMOUNTS LAST 21 DAYS through Dec 5th:

And we are adding an inch more on average from Monday night and today December 6th.

You can see the change in the amount of rain needed to wipe out the drought in the maps below [More]

More rain but drought didn’t disappear

  • 6:33 am Thursday, December 1st, 2016 by Kirk Mellish

December 2…UPDATED 5-day rainfall amount forecast map below:

Those who follow me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB got the heads up on the change to cooler and wetter as far back as November 19th and 23rd.

Before the jet stream pattern change allowed the wet pattern to become established the drought had reached dire levels in much of the Southeast United States including Georgia as documented in previous posts.

Over the past three days 3-6 inch rainfall totals have been common across the area, well above normal for this time of year. The 2.32 inches of rain at the airport Wednesday Nov 30th was the [More]