Posted: 4:25 pm Monday, March 20th, 2017

Looking ahead 

By Kirk Mellish

The springtime temperature swings continue but the longer trends point to above-normal temperatures winning out on average through the coming month of April.

A more active jet stream looks to increase chances for storminess in the longer term as well. But early signs still indicate the worst of it to our north and west.




The American model is warmer than the European ensemble:



Models both statistical and dynamical are still projecting at least weak El Nino conditions in the summer, maybe moderate:


El Nino is associated with fewer tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic. But it remains to be seen if the El Nino will come on fast enough and strong enough to influence this season.

EL Nino La Nina and severe weather season in the U.S.




Predicting specific high and low temperatures weeks in advance is not scientifically possible, so for frost and freeze risks we let climatology be our guide:

Screen Shot 2017-03-21 at 5.36.37 AM


Latest freeze dates

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