Posted: 9:00 am Wednesday, June 21st, 2017

Any hot summer weather fleeting 

By Kirk Mellish

It was a rather pleasant spring and now the first summer month too has been cooler than normal. Hot weather has not lasted more than a couple or few days so far this year.

It sure saves the lawn and bushes a lot of stress and saves the watering bill and the A/C bill, so I like it. But I am sure sun tanning fans are not thrilled.

It still looks like from today past the 4th of July real hot weather will continue to be hard to come by. Then odds of some heat go up if the new Weekly European Model Ensemble run is right.

1-15 Day GFS Ensemble average temperature departure from normal:

Screen Shot 2017-06-21 at 11.47.10 AM

End of June-early July rainfall amounts GFS Ensemble and Euro Ensemble:

Screen Shot 2017-06-21 at 11.48.41 AM

Hope for some drying beyond the current wet spell:

     Screen Shot 2017-06-21 at 9.03.16 PM

European Model the week ending July 7th:

eps_t2m_168h_northamer_4(70)

Then the model suggests more upper-level ridging which would bring warmer and drier if correct.

The week ending July 14th:

eps_z500a_168h_nh_6(36)

eps_t2m_168h_northamer_6(63)

The model projects not dry weather in Georgia but less wet to open the new month, as the bigger rains are projected to shift north of here. None-the-less, it looks like odds for rain will be above-normal right into the start of August. So no drought and no extreme heat here.

Screen Shot 2017-06-21 at 7.58.34 AM

Week ending July 21st:

eps_t2m_168h_northamer_8(64)

Week ending July 28th:

eps_t2m_168h_northamer_10(64)

KATL_2017062100_eps_min_max_15

FOLLOW me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s