Irma threat only grows 

Posted: 11:24 am Friday, September 8th, 2017

By Kirk Mellish

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Red line is Operational/Deterministic ECMWF model the black is the ECMWF model Ensemble. It could weaken but it could also strengthen.

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****This is a life-threatening dangerous powerful Hurricane for Florida****

It’s no longer if but when and how bad it hits Florida and where the worst will be, but it will be severe for most of the state of Florida!! It’s now mostly about how strong will it be.

There will likely be inland wind damage in Georgia and Western South Carolina and some areas of flooding. Parts of TN/NC may have problems as well.


Wind GUSTS to hurricane force are *possible* in Atlanta on this projected path and intensity level, along with 1-4 inches of rain or more, and the risk of an isolated tornado.

For Atlanta this would be late Sunday night into Monday, diminishing Tuesday. Obviously this means a risk of falling trees and power loss.

It’s not a lock because track and/OR intensity predictions may change going forward as they have many times on this storm in the past. Be prepared and hope for the best.



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You can see by the above that IRMA will be weakening rapidly as it moves into and through the Atlanta area down to 35 mph sustained winds near the storm core by the time it reaches the NW suburbs Tuesday morning.

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Should emphasize that this chart above is NOT a forecast, just giving a concept of its current size compared to Florida.

All my blog posts on Irma are here.

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