Rain returns, cool off follows 

Posted: 2:02 pm Tuesday, February 27th, 2018

By Kirk Mellish

A couple days of showers after the nice break Monday afternoon and Tuesday, sunshine often lifts spirits, especially given the frequent long spells of gloominess we’ve had.

It does not look like non-stop rain, but periods of rain are likely Wednesday and Thursday, details on the radio and in the online forecast section.

Highest flooding risk again to our North and West. No severe weather is expected as of now, but it bears watching just in case.

Dry weather expected on the weekend, with a noticeable chill in the mornings, some LIGHT frost and freeze possible, particularly in the usual colder spots away from the perimeter. Strong gusty winds Thursday and Friday.

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ESTIMATED RAIN AMOUNTS WEDNESDAY 7am-1pm:

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ESTIMATED RAIN AMOUNTS WEDNESDAY 1P-7PM:

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Thursday rainfall amount estimate:

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FLOOD potential 7am Wednesday to 7am Thursday:

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The above normal temperature pattern backs off heading into the weekend, but far from frigid (anomaly is how far +/- from average):

Screen Shot 2018-02-27 at 1.14.51 PMScreen Shot 2018-02-27 at 1.38.02 PM

Then temperatures moderate a bit by mid week, before another drop late next week:

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I’ll be more specific on actual high/low temperatures on the radio all week, and here as needed. As of now we’re probably talking highs in the 50s/low 60S and minimums in the 20s and 30s for another frost or freeze, but not a deep freeze as it looks now.

Obviously that could change as we get closer and data firms up, with the advanced state of vegetation it needs to be monitored for damage risks if future modeling comes in colder.

A series of storm systems will accompany the changing jet stream configuration. If the pattern change is to bring any winter precipitation somewhere in the South it would probably be the 3rd system, 10 days away give or take, but nothing worth getting excited about at this point.

If Old Man Winter dos not return by around march 17th or so he’s probably gone fishin until next winter.

FOLLOW me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB.

 

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