4th of July week not so bad 

Posted: 8:18 am Tuesday, July 3rd, 2018

By Kirk Mellish

We’ve had much worse weather for Fourth of July week in the past, running the gamut from unusually cloudy and stormy to insane heat and even somewhat coolish.

This year the week features fairly benign conditions compared to what is possible this time of year, and especially given the extreme heat and humidity that has hit to our West and up North even into Canada.

While Atlanta will not get any extreme heat, we will be more muggy than usual through Saturday.

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Weak upper level low pressure over the Northern Gulf Coast near New Orleans is drifting West and another wave of low pressure in the Atlantic and Florida is drifting West putting us in-between today with fewer storms and more sun. Storm odds this afternoon only around 1 in 5, which is lower than normal for this time of year.

4th of July weather looks typical for summer in Atlanta: a mix of sun and clouds hot and humid with only a few random hit or miss thunderstorms around the region in the afternoon or evening.

About the same for Thursday and Friday with storm odds at any given spot about 3 or 4 out of 10.

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Surface Weather Chart Tuesday afternoon

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Surface weather chart Tuesday evening



Tuesday rainfall average estimate

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Surface Weather Chart 4th afternoon and evening


Rainfall amount estimate Wednesday


Rainfall amount estimate Thursday

Then on the weekend a weak surface front looks to drift down into Northern Georgia and that may increase the coverage of scattered showers and thunderstorms on the weekend but no washout foreseen so far. Cloud cover will be enhanced at times and that should keep daytime highs in the mid 80s for most of us. Sunday it looks driest in the mountains and wettest in South Georgia based on the frontal position.

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Saturday surface weather chart

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Surface weather chart Sunday


Keep in mind as I’ve pointed out so many times in the past, thunderstorm forecasts unlike other types of forecasts sometimes have to be updated every few hours.

Follow me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB.

Fourth of July climate normal or average in Atlanta:

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Climate Data courtesy of Weather Spark.

MY 5-Day Forecast.





































































































































































































































































































































































Follow me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB.