August outlook 

Posted: 6:48 am Tuesday, July 24th, 2018

By Kirk Mellish

The analog method and the U.S. climate model consensus are somewhat at odds for next month.

The analogs are warmer and drier than the model output for the Southeast.

Normally I would go with the analog method, but this time I lean toward the model for next month.

August as a whole continuing the pattern of the summer thus far, near normal to above-normal rainfall and temperatures near- average to below average.

We will still have our hot spells but like this month it will be come and go heat.

The big heat dome looks to continue to be mostly out west with more jet stream troughing for the Eastern U.S.

ANALOG TEMPS:

Screen Shot 2018-07-23 at 10.07.54 AM

ANALOG RAINFALL:

Screen Shot 2018-07-23 at 10.08.28 AM

CONSENSUS OF NORTH AMERICAN MODELS:

NMME_ensemble_tmp2m_us_lead1

NMME_ensemble_prate_us_lead1

Follow me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB.

 

 

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