Drier pattern still expected 

Posted: 6:06 am Friday, August 3rd, 2018

By Kirk Mellish

Since the start of the week the expectation has been the wet pattern will start to break down and five days later the forecast remains the same.

Trees continue to fall and cause problems thanks to the soggy soils unable to support the root zone. Rain amounts this week accumulated in a range from 2 inches to 7 inches on average across the metro area.

Rain amounts yesterday alone were as high as 3 inches in spots south, while other areas got only a quarter of an inch or less:

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The worst of the rainy weather is behind us now. The rain and thunderstorm chance never gets to zero thanks to so much humidity remaining in place but it goes way down and even places that still get a shower or thunderstorm today through the weekend will be more dry than wet and get to see some sun.

Plenty of dry areas and dry hours to go around each of the next 3 days.

The upper-level low trough of low pressure is lifting out to the Northeast and the surface front is washing out and dissipating. More fair weather high pressure surface and aloft will build in over the next few days in a reversal of much of this week.

Another wet spell may start by the end of next week.

SURFACE WEATHER CHART FRIDAY:

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SURFACE WEATHER CHART SATURDAY:

prog36hr

RAINFALL ESTIMATE AVERAGE FRIDAY:

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RAINFALL AVERAGE ESTIMATE SATURDAY:

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RAINFALL AVERAGE ESTIMATE SUNDAY:

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3-DAY RAINFALL ESTIMATE AVERAGE:

Screen Shot 2018-08-03 at 8.08.36 AM

After temperatures as much as 13 degrees below normal the past few days we gradually but steadily heat up to more normal levels for this time of year (average high is 89).

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NOTE: the computer model ensemble temperature output (below) has been unusually off the mark for months now with the GEFS too hot and the EPS running too cool.

KATL_2018080300_min_max_16KATL_2018080300_eps_min_max_15

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