Dangerous Hurricane Michael 

Posted: 5:16 pm Tuesday, October 9th, 2018

By Kirk Mellish

MICHAEL STRENGTHENS TO A MAJOR HURRICANE… …LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE…HURRICANE FORCE WINDS…AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST… 

Max winds 125 mph near eye and storm surge 9-13 feet parts of Florida Panhandle.

No huge changes in the forecast thinking of the past few days both for Florida and adjacent areas or for Metro Atlanta. Conditions will deteriorate rapidly overnight on and near the Gulf Coast while the eye of the storm is projected onshore Wednesday afternoon.

As always any last minute changes in strength or track could cause a significant change in the local weather so stay tuned just in case.

But as of now it still looks like the most significant impacts from the hurricane will be well South of Metro Atlanta.

The highest risk for power outages looks to be South of an Athens to Griffin line.

ECMWF simulated satellite model projection Wednesday:

Screen Shot 2018-10-09 at 5.13.42 PM

Note the addition of Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings for the East Coast:

152906_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

Screen Shot 2018-10-09 at 5.24.30 PM

Screen Shot 2018-10-09 at 5.09.13 PM152906_most_likely_toa_no_wsp_34152906WPCQPF_smScreen Shot 2018-10-09 at 5.21.57 PMScreen Shot 2018-10-09 at 5.08.46 PM

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Stay out of the Gulf sailors, wave model output indicates rogue wave max of 75 feet offshore.

EXPERIMENTAL POWER OUTAGE MODEL GUIKEMA RESEARCH GROUP Univ. of Michigan: Estimated 3 million without power mostly Florida Panhandle and South Georgia:

Screen Shot 2018-10-09 at 5.17.21 PM

Beautiful taste of autumn weather follows the storm.

For more follow me on Twitter @MellishMeterWSB.

 

 

 

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